本周北京方管市场价格小幅下跌。月底市场消息面错综变化，唐山限产虽然延长，但限产力度要低于7月份。同时，市场期待的新一轮中美贸易谈判在上海结束，暂时没有新的信号进展，而 美联储降息25个百分点，期货市场震荡下跌，钢坯价格小幅回落，北京方管市场价格弱势下行。近期钢厂到货较多，市场资源得到补充；高温雨季的影响下， 下游采购力度减弱，市场大户日成交量在100-1500吨。在需求减弱的情况下，北京方管库存有小幅上升。
Prices in Beijing's Fangguan market fell slightly this week. At the end of the month, the market news is complicated. Although the production limit in Tangshan has been extended, its productivity is lower than that in July. At the same time, the expected new round of Sino-US trade negotiations ended in Shanghai. There was no new signal for the time being. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 percentage points, futures market tumbled, billet prices fell slightly, and Beijing Fangguan market prices fell weakly. In recent years, steel mills have more arrivals and market resources have been supplemented. Under the influence of high temperature and rainy season, downstream purchasing efforts have been weakened, and the daily turnover of large market households is 100-1500 tons. In the case of weakening demand, the inventory of Beijing Square Management has increased slightly. 国内宏观数据方面，国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了数据显示，7月份，中国制造业PMI为49.7%，比上月提高0.3个百分点，为4月份以来首现回升，表明国内经济景气度缓中趋稳，但目前仍然处于临界点以下，经济压力仍然存在。
In terms of domestic macro-data, the service industry survey center of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Logistics and Purchasing Federation released data showing that in July, the PMI of China's manufacturing industry was 49.7%, 0.3 percentage points higher than that of last month, the first rebound since April, indicating that the domestic economic prosperity is slowing down and stabilizing, but it is still at a critical point. Next, economic pressures remain.
环保预期却在减弱。一是唐山焖炉已经结束;二是，8月份新一期大气污染防治管控初步方案公布，烧结限产在20-50%左右。据测算，在不考虑烧结 机限产对铁水产量影响的情况下，高炉限产影响铁水量约为6万吨/天，较7月均值少9万吨/天，限产趋弱态势明显。叠加超低排放达到A级企业冬季可不限产或 停产等产业消息，被市场解读为利空。
Environmental expectations are weakening. First, Tangshan baking furnace is over; second, a new preliminary plan for air pollution control and control was announced in August, with a sintering production limit of about 20-50%. It is estimated that, without considering the influence of sintering machine production restriction on hot metal production, the hot metal production restriction of blast furnace is about 60,000 tons per day, which is 90,000 tons less than the average in July, and the trend of production restriction is obvious. Superposition of ultra-low emissions to A-level enterprises in winter may limit production or stop production and other industrial news, the market interpreted as negative.
美联储利率决议将降息25百分点，期货市场出现大幅震荡下行。随着70周年大庆的来临，8月份北京部分工地将停工，对市场需求有影响。总短期来 看，国内方管市场在季节性需求尚未完全兑现的情况下，消息端对市场的影响仍然占据主要因素，方管市场反复震荡的格局仍然未变，预计下周北京方管市场价格将呈弱势调 整的态势。
The Federal Reserve's interest rate resolution will cut interest rates by 25 percentage points, and the futures market has experienced a sharp downward swing. With the coming of the 70th anniversary celebration, some construction sites in Beijing will be shut down in August, which has an impact on market demand. Overall, in the short term, when the seasonal demand has not been fully fulfilled, the influence of news sources on the market is still the main factor, and the pattern of repeated shocks in the market remains unchanged. It is expected that the price of Beijing's market will be weakly adjusted next week.
方管价格方面，截至8月2日，北京市螺线沙龙批量成交指导价 格：Φ8-10mm高线为4760元(吨价，下同)，比上周同期下跌40元。河北钢铁集团产Φ12mm三级抗震螺纹钢为4060元，比上周同期下跌60 元；Φ25mm三级螺钢为3930元，比上周同期下跌20元。
As for the square pipe price, as of August 2, the guiding price for volume trading of Beijing spiral salon was 4,760 yuan (ton price, the same below) for the 8-10 mm high line, down 40 yuan from the same period last week. Hebei Iron and Steel Group's production of 12mm three-stage aseismic screw steel is 4060 yuan, down 60 yuan from the same period last week; 25mm three-stage screw steel is 3930 yuan, down 20 yuan from the same period last week.
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